Ranchers and Meat Packers

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Beef is back. Or at least the profits are back in the hands of the ranchers and meatpackers. A surging consumer demand and a ban on Canadian livestock are fueling a bull market for U.S. beef. Cattle prices have hit record highs this month. The momentum is such that it will probably stay lofty to keep cattle producers and meatpacker profitable for several years. These higher prices for beef couldn’t have came at a better time for the U.S. farm economy, which is recovering from a five-year recession. Ranching is agriculture’s largest sector (0% of the farm economy’s total revenue), generating $41 billion this year. The Agriculture Department earlier this month raised its forecast on the year farm income to $5.6 billion, which would be the highest level since 16.


The cattle industry is like most cyclical industries they are subject to booms and busts of cycles. However, this price rally is extraordinary in its strength due to a number of factors. To included the cattle population that has shrunk 7% since 16 to only 6.1 million head. Beef supplies even tighten more when the U.S. closed its border to Canadian beef because of a single Alberta cow testing positive for mad cow disease. Last year 8% of the beef consumed in the U.S. originated in Canada.


Like any product that is in demand it seems the criminal element wants to get there’s as well. Due to the elevated prices for beef Law-enforcement authorities have seen a rash of cattle thefts. When you consider the value of a steer we shouldn’t be surprised that thefts have increased (700 to 1000 pound steer @ 0.7 cents per pound = $65 to $07 per steer), and we thought cattle rustlers were a thing of the Wild West.


Economists expect retail beef prices to climb about 7% this year, with some prime cuts of beef jumping 40%. I guess we should all look a little closer at the menu the next time we order steak it could have the familiar “Market Price” attached to it, and we thought crab and lobster meat were only advertised this way.


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